Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.231603e-05 1.502614e-05 0.000018 0.000022 0.000025 0.000030 0.000035
2026-01-11 8.986590e-06 1.239603e-05 0.000016 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044
2026-01-18 7.214186e-06 1.105445e-05 0.000016 0.000023 0.000031 0.000041 0.000054
2026-01-25 5.635700e-06 9.575140e-06 0.000015 0.000023 0.000033 0.000045 0.000062
2026-02-01 4.264407e-06 8.067419e-06 0.000014 0.000022 0.000033 0.000048 0.000068
2026-02-08 3.193369e-06 6.757949e-06 0.000012 0.000021 0.000033 0.000050 0.000073
2026-02-15 2.453830e-06 5.804494e-06 0.000011 0.000020 0.000034 0.000052 0.000078
2026-02-22 1.894443e-06 5.024493e-06 0.000011 0.000020 0.000034 0.000055 0.000084
2026-03-01 1.401007e-06 4.231305e-06 0.000010 0.000019 0.000034 0.000056 0.000088
2026-03-08 9.753352e-07 3.437136e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000034 0.000056 0.000091
2026-03-15 6.945047e-07 2.867167e-06 0.000008 0.000017 0.000033 0.000057 0.000094
2026-03-22 5.385769e-07 2.555337e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000034 0.000060 0.000100
2026-03-29 3.508047e-07 2.091780e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000034 0.000062 0.000106
2026-04-05 2.419471e-07 1.805162e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000036 0.000066 0.000115
2026-04-12 1.878519e-07 1.685766e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000072 0.000127
2026-04-19 1.241161e-07 1.454399e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000039 0.000076 0.000135
2026-04-26 6.886645e-08 1.173036e-06 0.000005 0.000017 0.000039 0.000078 0.000142
2026-05-03 3.332593e-08 9.207790e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000039 0.000079 0.000147
2026-05-10 1.550506e-08 7.433584e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000039 0.000082 0.000153
2026-05-17 6.276904e-09 6.009467e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000040 0.000084 0.000160
2026-05-24 1.553571e-09 4.572080e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000085 0.000165
2026-05-31 1.031363e-10 3.207581e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000038 0.000085 0.000168
2026-06-07 1.122595e-14 2.324740e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000086 0.000172